Meghan Markle Turns 45: What King Charles Is Expected to Do — and Why William and Kate Are a Different Story

Public birthday tributes are not expected from the palace. Even so, royal commentators believe the occasion could quietly reveal more than any public message would.

Meghan Markle celebrated her 45th birthday on August 4 as royal commentators predicted the occasion would offer another glimpse into the royal family's evolving relationships behind closed doors.

According to experts who spoke with Page Six, the Duchess of Sussex is not expected to receive a public birthday message from the royal family. Since Meghan and Prince Harry stepped back as working royals in 2020, official birthday wishes have been reserved for members carrying out royal duties.

Royal commentator Tom Sykes said any acknowledgment for Meghan would be handled privately rather than through the royal family's public platforms.

"There's absolutely no way anything will be put on social media feeds or anything like that," Sykes said, explaining that birthday wishes for a private citizen would be sent privately.

Royal expert Kinsey Schofield said the palace's approach has remained consistent in recent years, even as public interest in the Sussexes continues.

"Harry, Meghan, and their children haven't been included in that policy for several years," Schofield told the outlet. "Palace officials would tell you it's protocol, not personal."

While commentators expect the palace to follow that policy, they believe the responses from individual members of the royal family may not be the same.

Sykes said King Charles III is likely to acknowledge Meghan's birthday privately. Schofield believes that, if he does, the gesture would reflect the King's longstanding preference for quiet acts over public displays.

"Charles has always had a compassionate streak, and despite everything that's happened, he has rarely gone out of his way to be overtly unkind toward Meghan," Schofield said. "A discreet gesture would be entirely in keeping with his character."

The expectations are different when it comes to Prince William and Princess Catherine. According to the commentators, the distance between the couples makes any private outreach unlikely.

"The relationship simply isn't there anymore," Schofield said. "They believe Meghan played a significant role in the breakdown of family trust, and I think any suggestion that they're secretly exchanging birthday wishes belongs more in the realm of wishful thinking than reality."